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| #458402 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 10.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1500 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 61.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 61.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.4N 63.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.9N 64.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.4N 66.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.7N 68.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...125NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.9N 70.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 61.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
