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| #458635 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 AM 11.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011 ...NATE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.4N 96.8W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM N OF BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL CROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NATE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND DISSIPATE BY TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND WILL SPREAD INLAND IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF NATE. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
