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| #458655 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:34 PM 11.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 100 PM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011 ...NATE MOVING INLAND OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 97.2W ABOUT 15 MI...30 KM E OF POZA RICA MEXICO ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NATE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND DISSIPATE BY TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER. POZA RICA MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND WILL SPREAD INLAND IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF NATE. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
