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| #458821 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 12.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0900 UTC MON SEP 12 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 66.3W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 90SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 66.3W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 66.0W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.5N 67.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.7N 68.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 24.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 26.1N 69.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.8N 67.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 41.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 51.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 66.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
