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| #458870 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 12.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1100 AM AST MON SEP 12 2011 ...DISORGANIZED MARIA MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 67.3W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043... LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...EAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...AND A PEAK GUST OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
