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| #458930 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 12.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 500 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011 ...MARIA DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 67.5W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 800 MI...1285 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES... 325 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043...LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES...230 KM...EAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H...AND A PEAK GUST OF 52 MPH...83 KM/H. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
