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#458997 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 PM 12.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1100 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011 ...MARIA INCHING NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 67.5W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 780 MI...1250 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH |