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| #459227 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 13.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1100 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011 ...MARIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 68.2W ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 640 MI...1035 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046... LOCATED NOT FROM THE CENTER OF MARIA...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH GUSTS TO 47 MPH...76 KM/H. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
