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| #459228 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 13.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0300 UTC WED SEP 14 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.2W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.2W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 28.8N 68.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.8N 67.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.0N 64.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 120SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 52.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 180SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 68.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
