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| #459452 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:59 PM 14.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 800 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011 ...MARIA STRENGTHENS...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.2N 68.9W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND MARIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. A WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN |
