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| #459479 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 14.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1100 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011 ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA BY EARLY THURSDAY AS MARIA APPROACHES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 68.6W ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND MARIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. A WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM ...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY EARLY THURSDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
