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#459533 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 15.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 500 AM AST THU SEP 15 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER BERMUDA LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 68.4W ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST. MARIA HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL QUICKLY PASS WEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS POSSIBILITY THAT MARIA WILL BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH TODAY. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATER TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |