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| #459704 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 15.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO JONES HARBOUR. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE AVALON PENINSULA THIS EVENING OR FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 63.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 37 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 330SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 63.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 64.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 43.3N 58.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 50.7N 50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 400SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 58.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 350SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 63.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
