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| #459792 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:56 AM 16.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 800 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 ...WINDS ALREADY INCREASING OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.6N 58.2W ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 45 MPH...72 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUS SOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 45 MPH...72 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND ADDITIONAL ACCELERATION BY TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE MARIA MOVES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY. SOME WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED BY TONIGHT...AND MARIA COULD BE ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE BY SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY MIDDAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN |
