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| #459809 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 16.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...44.6N 56.3W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUS SOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. MARIA SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER CROSSING NEWFOUNDLAND AND LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM... SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. CANADIAN BUOY 44141 RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH... 76 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST OF 67 MPH...108 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE CANADIAN BUOY NETWORK IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY MIDDAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN |
