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| #46135 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 15.Sep.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2005 ...OPHELIA DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 55 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS HAVE BECOME WEAK ONCE AGAIN...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE. WHILE THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVE PARALLEL TO THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... THE NORTHERN EYEWALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO POSSIBLY 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. RECENTLY...AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF A SUSTAINED WIND OF 65 MPH WITH A GUST TO 95 MPH WAS RECEIVED FROM HATTERAS VILLAGE NORTH CAROLINA...AND A SUSTAINED WIND OF 66 MPH WITH A GUST TO 83 MPH WAS REPORTED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...34.8 N... 75.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
