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| #461642 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 24.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 2100 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 27.9W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 27.9W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 27.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.6N 29.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.5N 31.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.6N 33.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.8N 34.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 36.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 38.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 39.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 27.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
