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| #462509 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 28.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 38.0W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 38.0W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 37.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.2N 39.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.4N 40.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.8N 42.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.2N 43.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.2N 45.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 49.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 25.5N 52.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 38.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
