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| #462678 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 28.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 39.7W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 39.7W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 39.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 41.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 42.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.9N 44.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 45SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.1N 46.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.6N 49.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 25.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.0N 56.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 39.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
