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| #46321 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 16.Sep.2005) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 1500Z FRI SEP 16 2005 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 74.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.1N 73.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 39.8N 70.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 42.8N 66.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.0N 60.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 50.0N 47.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 53.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 53.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 74.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
