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| #463631 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 02.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 50.8W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 45SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 90SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 50.8W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 50.3W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.8N 52.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.7N 54.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.6N 56.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.6N 58.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.5N 61.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 50.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
