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| #463632 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 02.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0300 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 49.8W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 45SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 49.8W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 49.3W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.8N 51.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.0N 53.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 25.9N 55.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.8N 57.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 31.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 49.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
