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| #463810 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 03.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC MON OCT 03 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.9W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 90SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.9W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 54.3W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.6N 56.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N 58.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.8N 60.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.5N 61.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.3N 60.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 30.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 33.0N 52.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 54.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
