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| #464190 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 05.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 60.8W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 60.8W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 60.6W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.3N 61.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N 61.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.8N 60.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.9N 58.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N 52.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 38.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 60.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
