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| #46521 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 17.Sep.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 46 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005 OPHELIA IS CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS BECOMING EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION...AND A TROUGH OR POSSIBLE FRONTAL BAND IS FORMING SOUTH OF THE CENTER. OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 12-24 HR...BUT MAINTAIN GALE TO POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/18. OPHELIA SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEAST ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND...THEN MOVE GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN THE FAST WESTERLY FLOW. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 40.7N 69.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 18/0000Z 43.4N 65.3W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 18/1200Z 46.4N 59.8W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 19/0000Z 48.8N 53.8W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 19/1200Z 50.5N 47.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 20/1200Z 54.0N 32.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 21/1200Z 59.0N 16.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 22/1200Z 64.0N 7.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL |
