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| #46570 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 17.Sep.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 47 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005 OPHELIA IS CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REMAINING MINIMAL CONVECTION...AND A TROUGH OR POSSIBLE FRONTAL BAND CONTINUES TO FORM SOUTH OF THE CENTER. OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 12 HR... BUT MAINTAIN GALE TO POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 050/21. OPHELIA SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEAST NEAR OR ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND...THEN MOVE GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN THE FAST WESTERLY FLOW. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 42.4N 66.3W 50 KT 12HR VT 18/0600Z 44.8N 62.6W 50 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 18/1800Z 47.7N 56.5W 45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 19/0600Z 49.8N 50.4W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 19/1800Z 51.4N 43.2W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 20/1800Z 55.0N 28.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 21/1800Z 60.5N 14.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 22/1800Z 66.0N 7.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL |
