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| #46633 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 17.Sep.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005 0300Z SUN SEP 18 2005 INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 55.2W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 15NE 25SE 25SW 15NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 55.2W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 55.1W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.9N 55.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.8N 56.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.0N 57.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.1N 58.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N 59.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 55.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
