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| #4679 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:38 AM 13.Aug.2004) TCMAT3 HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004 0900Z FRI AUG 13 2004 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 5 AM...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U. S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 82.9W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 45SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 140SE 60SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 82.9W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 82.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.3N 82.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 29.8N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.0N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 38.0N 78.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 45.5N 73.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 82.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA |
