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| #468152 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:17 PM 24.Oct.2011) TCMAT3 HURRICANE RINA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 1815 UTC MON OCT 24 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 83.0W AT 24/1815Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 83.0W AT 24/1800Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 82.7W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.4N 83.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N 84.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.8N 84.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N 85.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.2N 87.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N 86.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 83.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS |
