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| #468579 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 26.Oct.2011) TCMAT3 HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 2100 UTC WED OCT 26 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA * THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO PROGRESO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 85.9W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 85.9W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 85.7W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.7N 86.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 86.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.4N 86.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.5N 86.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.0N 84.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.5N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.5N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 85.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
