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| #468687 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 27.Oct.2011) TCMAT3 HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 0900 UTC THU OCT 27 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA * THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO PROGRESO PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 86.9W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 86.9W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.7W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.8N 87.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 87.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.6N 86.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.9N 86.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 86.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
