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| #468854 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 27.Oct.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 1000 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 ...CENTER OF RINA PASSING JUST WEST OF COZUMEL... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 87.2W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING... WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO MEXICO...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE MEXICAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. RINA SHOULD THEN BEGIN A SOUTHWARD DRIFT BACK TO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND REMAIN THERE FOR A FEW DAYS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND RINA SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. PUERTO AVENTURAS ON THE YUCATAN COAST RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO NEAR 44 MPH...71 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN COZUMEL AND ALONG PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.... PRIMARILY ON COZUMEL AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
