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| #468878 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:11 AM 28.Oct.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 100 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...CENTER OF RINA PASSING JUST WEST OF CANCUN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 87.1W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM W OF CANCUN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. RINA SHOULD THEN BEGIN A SOUTHWARD DRIFT BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND REMAIN THERE FOR A FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA OVER WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND RINA SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN COZUMEL AND ALONG PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH TODAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.... PRIMARILY ON COZUMEL AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI |
