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| #46932 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 19.Sep.2005) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005 1500Z MON SEP 19 2005 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND WESTWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXUMAS AND FOR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND FOR ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIENFUEGOS. AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET. AT 11 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE. AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 75.2W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......125NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 40SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 75.2W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 74.6W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.4N 76.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N 79.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 75SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.4N 81.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.7N 84.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.5N 88.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 92.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.0N 95.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 75.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB |
