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| #46996 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 19.Sep.2005) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005 2100Z MON SEP 19 2005 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA. AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS MODIFIED WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR CUBA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND WESTWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXUMAS AND FOR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE....AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.5W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.5W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 75.9W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.7N 78.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.2N 80.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.6N 83.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.9N 85.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N 90.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 93.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 30.0N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 76.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB |
