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| #4734 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 13.Aug.2004) TCMAT3 HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004 1500Z FRI AUG 13 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 82.8W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 140SE 60SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 82.8W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 82.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N 82.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.4N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...135NE 135SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.8N 79.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.2N 76.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 46.5N 71.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 82.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
