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| #47474 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 21.Sep.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005 1500Z WED SEP 21 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 57.2W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 57.2W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 57.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N 57.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.8N 58.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.0N 58.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 38.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.5N 44.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 57.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN |
