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| #47531 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 21.Sep.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005 2100Z WED SEP 21 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 57.1W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 57.1W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 57.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 57.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.3N 57.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.8N 58.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 35.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 42.5N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 57.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN |
