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| #47596 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:31 PM 21.Sep.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005 0300Z THU SEP 22 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 57.0W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 57.0W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 57.0W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.2N 57.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.6N 58.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.2N 58.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.7N 59.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 35.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 42.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 57.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH |
