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#47703 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 22.Sep.2005)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
1500Z THU SEP 22 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 57.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 57.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 56.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.2N 57.6W...ABSORBED
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.6N 58.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.6N 58.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.5N 51.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 38.5N 45.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 40.0N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 57.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN