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| #48060 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 23.Sep.2005) TCMAT3 HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005 2100Z FRI SEP 23 2005 AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF SARGENT TEXAS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SARGENT TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN ...AND FROM SOUTH OF SARGENT TO PORT ARANSAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 92.6W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..350NE 300SE 250SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 92.6W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.3W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.2N 93.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.8N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 70NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 33.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 33.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 33.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 92.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
