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| #4809 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:11 PM 13.Aug.2004) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 ...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS TO CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AND HEADS FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE ALSO ISSUED FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH FLORIDA... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR FLORIDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONCENTRATED IN A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND SPEED MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...26.0 N... 82.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
