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| #48364 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 24.Sep.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005 RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR BUT WIND GUSTS ARE PROBABLY HIGHER. FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY LIGHT SO ONLY A SMALL EASTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 24 HOURS. RITA SHOULD PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAIN ALONG ITS PATH. BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND ABOUT 150 N MI SOUTH OF THE CENTER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 32.1N 94.0W 45 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 33.5N 93.8W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 25/1800Z 35.0N 93.0W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 26/0600Z 35.0N 91.5W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 26/1800Z 35.0N 90.0W 20 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 27/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING |
