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| #48418 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 24.Sep.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VELOCITY DATA FROM THE WSR-88D RADAR IN SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA INDICATE THAT RITA IS NO LONGER PRODUCING ANY SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... BUT THERE ARE A FEW OBSERVATIONS THAT SUPPORT THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT. THE RADAR IMAGERY STILL DEPICTS SIGNIFICANT BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE DEPRESSION IS CERTAINLY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE RAINFALL TOTALS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... EVEN THOUGH IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... AND PERHAPS MERGE WITH A FRONT IN ABOUT THREE DAYS AS SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. SINCE ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AND RITA IS NOW BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT SUNDAY. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 33.0N 93.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 25/1200Z 34.2N 93.4W 25 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 26/0000Z 35.4N 91.8W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 26/1200Z 36.3N 89.8W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 27/0000Z 37.0N 87.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 28/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT |
