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| #4927 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:02 PM 13.Aug.2004) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 ...CHARLEY WEAKENING WHILE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA ON THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA...AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR JUST SOUTH OF FORT MEADE FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ORLANDO. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY PASS NEAR WINTER HAVEN AND ORLANDO DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND IT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING ACROSS FLORIDA NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. THERE HAS BEEN AN UNOFFICIAL REPORTED OF 104 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE IN ARCADIA FLORIDA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES. THE ESTIMATED MIMIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS IS SUBSIDING. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS OCCURRING NEAR AND SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MOVED INLAND. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...27.7 N... 81.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
