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| #49487 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 01.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192005 0300Z SUN OCT 02 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 34.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 34.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 33.8W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.6N 34.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.2N 35.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.9N 36.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 36.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.0N 36.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N 36.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 34.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 34.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
