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| #49571 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 02.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005 ...STAN MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO CAMPECHE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 75 KM... SOUTHWEST OF TULUM MEXICO AND ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO. STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STAN WILL BE MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FOR MOST OF TODAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...BUT REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES ...195 KM FROM THE CENTER...IN RAINBANDS TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NORTHERN BELIZE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...19.8 N... 88.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
