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| #49614 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 02.Oct.2005) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005 2100Z SUN OCT 02 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 89.4W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......105NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 89.4W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 88.9W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.1N 90.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N 93.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 75SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N 94.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 75SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N 96.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 25SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 75SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...105NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 89.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
