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| #50092 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:25 AM 05.Oct.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TAMMY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 730 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM FORMS JUST OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED... RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FORMED WITHIN THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS. AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA AND ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF TAMMY WILL BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY. DUE TO THE ANGLE OF APPROACH TO THE COASTLINE... THE SPECIFIC LOCATION AND TIME OF LANDFALL OF THE CENTER ARE UNCERTAIN. ADDITIONALLY...MOST OF THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 730 AM EDT POSITION...28.4 N... 80.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB |
