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| #5034 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 14.Aug.2004) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004 ...CHARLEY HEADING FOR THE CAROLINAS... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC... CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE TO SANDY HOOK INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS. AT 5 AM EST...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. AT 5 AM EST...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHARLEY WILL BE NEARING THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FT IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 80.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
